Local shares edged higher for fourth straight trading day while the Philippine peso recovered Thursday as investors took positive cues from Wall Street.
The bellwether Philippine Stock Exchange index picked up 77.47 points, or 1.23 percent, to close at 6,390.58, while the all-shares index ended at 3,477.70, up by 27.12 points, or 0.79 percent.
The peso also bounced back to close at 58.75 against the US dollar Thursday from 58.86 Wednesday.
Philstocks Financial Inc. research analyst Claire Alviar said Wall Street ended higher on positive expectation over US personal consumption expenditure inflation report for the month of May.
Investors are hoping that the report will show an easing of inflation rate, which could push the US Federal Reserve to lower rates in the second half.
Trading value however was thin at P3.86 billion as investors stayed on the sidelines while waiting cues from the Bangko Sentral ng Pilipinas regarding rate cuts. The BSP maintained its policy interest rates Thursday.
Foreign investors were net sellers, with total net outflows reaching P96.30 million.
All sectoral indices ended in the green led by financial, which climbed by 2.5 percent, industrial by 1.07 percent and property by 0.93 percent.
Meanwhile, the yen edged back slightly Thursday after hitting a 38-year low against the dollar, putting investors on alert for a possible intervention by Japanese authorities, while investors awaited US inflation data that could spark another round of volatility.
The Japanese unit’s latest retreat came as uncertainty surrounded the Federal Reserve’s timetable for cutting interest rates, and the Bank of Japan’s caution in tightening monetary policy.
Traders were also selling equities across Asia as tech firms came under pressure amid concerns that a long-running rally in the sector may have been overdone and profit-takers stepped in.
Focus has turned to Tokyo, where vice finance minister Masato Kanda said this week that authorities were keeping a close eye on movements in forex markets and were ready to step in with yen support 24 hours a day.
Their determination was put to the test after the yen fell to 160.87 per dollar late Wednesday — its weakest since 1986 — as US Treasury yields spiked.
Analysts say it is possible traders will keep pushing the envelope to see at what point the government will act, with some saying the unit could hit 170.
But Royal Bank of Canada’s Alvin Tan told AFP: “Tokyo is not so much worried about any particular dollar-yen level, but the speed and volatility of the move.
“In this light, the move… overnight or over the past few weeks has not been especially volatile. If the dollar-yen’s climb gains momentum, intervention risk will similarly rise, but I think it will be closer to 165 rather than 160 before Tokyo acts again.”
Billions were pumped in to support the yen after it hit a 34-year low of 160.17 in late April, but with limited effect.
The dollar’s surge against the yen is being fueled by a wide divergence in the monetary policies of the Fed and BoJ, with the US central bank still worried about sticky inflation and Japanese officials trying to avoid damaging the fragile economy.
“The purpose of any intervention is to slow the slide in the yen before fundamentals ultimately turn around,” said Carol Kong at Commonwealth Bank of Australia.
“The BoJ’s gradual policy normalization is definitely not helping the yen.”
– ‘Strong concerns’ –
Friday sees the release of the US personal consumption expenditures (PCE) index, the Fed’s favored gauge of inflation, followed by crucial jobs data a week later.
A forecast-busting read on those could push back expectations for a rate reduction and put further upward pressure on the dollar.
On Thursday, Japanese finance minister Shunichi Suzuki told reporters: “We have strong concerns about (cheaper yen’s) impact on the economy. With a sense of urgency, we are analyzing the background of this movement and will take necessary measures if necessary.”
Meanwhile, the BoJ’s July meeting will be scrutinized after it disappointed investors this month by delaying the wind-down of its bond-buying program that is used to keep borrowing costs down.
There is hope it will hike rates, having done so in March for the first time in 17 years.
Robert Brown, at MAS Markets, said: “Looking ahead, the Japanese yen may strengthen as the BoJ considers reducing bond purchases and raising interest rates.
“However, the rate differentials with other major currencies could continue weighing the yen in the meantime.”
Equity markets were down across the board in Asia as investors struggled to pick up a mildly positive lead from Wall Street, with Micron Technology’s below-expectations forecast for chip sales adding to pressure on the tech sector.
Hong Kong led losses, while Tokyo, Shanghai, Sydney, Seoul, Wellington, Bangkok and Taipei were also well down.
Singapore, Manila, Mumbai and Jakarta eked out gains.
London rose but Paris and Frankfurt rose. With AFP
