If recent political surveys are to be taken as an indication of the outcome of the May 9 elections, Partido Federal ng Pilipinas standard-bearer Ferdinand “Bongbong” Marcos Jr. would come out as a runaway winner, leaving the other presidential bets biting the dust by more than 27 million votes.
This was based on Pulso ng Pilipinas, a compilation and summation of all Kalye Survey results produced by information and statistical data provider Splat Communications, working jointly with consulting firm Simplified Strategic Solutions (SSS).
Allowing for a voter turnout of 82 percent of the total 67-million registered voters, or 54.94-million voters, Marcos will get 33,128,820 votes. Leni Robredo, a very far second, will get 5,637,638 votes. This figure indicates a lead of 27,491,182 votes for Marcos.
Manila Mayor Isko Moreno will take the third place, with 4,603,972 votes, while Manny Pacquiao and Panfilo Lacson will garner 3,483,196 and 1,395,476 votes, respectively.
Splat Communications stressed that they decided to do an estimation to give a clear picture of the statistical data obtained.
Based on the January 1 to 31 results, Marcos got a total of 8,170 or 60.30 percent; Robredo got 1,323 or 9.77 percent.
Moreno got 1,135 or 8.38 percent; Pacquiao, 859 or 6.34 percent; and Lacson, 344 or 2.54 percent.
There were 113,548 respondents for the said period, 12.67 percent of which were undecided.
“With a little over three months left before the elections, please be observant and extra-vigilant. Expect all the worst imaginable drama, intrigues, downright lies, smear campaigns, and threats against the frontrunner BBM,” Splat said.
“All of his opponents will become desperate as Election Day draws near. Now the disparity is as clear as day. This lead is insurmountable at this stage,” Splat added in the voice-over.
In the 2016 presidential elections, Rodrigo Duterte, with 15,970,018 votes, pulled away by 6,269,636 votes from Manuel Roxas, garnered 9,700,382.
Benigno “Noynoy” Aquino III, on the other hand, won over Joseph Estrada by 5,720,841 in 2010. Aquino had 15,208,678 votes, as opposed to Estrada’s 9,487,837 votes.
Subscribers of Splat Communications’ YouTube channel posted favorable comments on the video, commending Splat and expressing support for Marcos.
“And Splat Communication is fair and honest in reporting the Kalye Survey or the true Voice of the people, that BBM is the people’s choice for this coming election,” a male subscriber said.
“BBM is undeniably the people’s choice. That is certain. SPLAT Communications is doing a great job. Thanks again,” another affirmed.
“In my own opinion, based on almost all surveys, BBM’s lead in votes over his closest rival will even be greater,” one comment read.