At least four to seven more tropical depressions are likely to enter the Philippine area of responsibility before 2024 ends, according to the Philippine Atmospheric, Geophysical and Astronomical Services Administration (PAGASA).
PAGASA said they are expecting two or three storms this October, one or two cyclones in November and another one or two in December.
Analiza Solis, PAGASA’s Climate Monitoring and Prediction Section chief, said tropical depressions tend to make landfall and cross the country within this period.
Based on historical data, most disturbances in October made landfall in Luzon, while those in November and December mostly hit Bicol, Eastern Visayas and eastern Mindanao.
Amid a possible weak La Niña, strong typhoons could also be anticipated.
“Historically, we see a weak La Niña (in the) last quarter of the year. We have more occurrences of super typhoons and typhoon category (storms), (and) at the same time rain-bearing storms,” Solis said.
