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Friday, November 15, 2024

WB sees SE Asia currency risk

Malaysia, and to a lesser degree Indonesia, Thailand and the Philippines, remain more exposed to exchange rate risk than other developing economies in East Asia and the Pacific as global financial conditions tighten, the World Bank said.

Companies and banks in these countries have sizable external debt, although foreign exchange reserves currently appear adequate, the Washington-based multilateral lender said in a report on Wednesday.

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Monetary authorities need to be prepared to tighten their policy stance if capital outflows prompt currency weakness. In the case of depreciation pressures in China, authorities should allow greater adjustment through relative prices and closely monitor financial sector vulnerabilities as monetary policy further tightens.

Growth in the region will continue to benefit from an improving global environment and strong domestic demand, the World Bank said, raising its forecasts for China, Malaysia and Thailand for 2017 and 2018, compared with estimates published in April. China is seen expanding 6.7 percent this year and 6.4 percent next year.

Most Asian currencies have surged against the dollar this year as stronger growth prospects lured inflows. 

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