If the May 2025 party-list elections were to be held during the survey period, eight party-list groups would be assured of at least one seat in the House of Representatives, according to the 4th Quarter 2024 Tugon ng Masa (TNM) Survey of Octa Research.
Out of a list of 157 party-list organizations, the 8 party-list groups garnering more than two percent support from likely voters and are on track to secure at least one guaranteed seat potentially are; 1. ACT-CIS, 2. TINGOG, 3. AKO BICOL, 4. SENIOR CITIZENS, 5. USWAG ILONGGO, 6. 4PS, 7. TUPAD, and 8. AKBAYAN.
The Anti-Crime and Terrorism Community Involvement and Support (ACT-CIS) party-list tops the survey rankings with 13.28% votes, followed by the Tingog party-list with 6.6%, the Ako Bicol party-list with 5.34%, the Senior Citizens party-list with 4.69%, and USWAG Ilonggo party-list with 4.57%.
The top eight are the 4Ps party list, which received 3.43% support from likely voters; the TUPAD party list, 2.34%; and the Akbayan party list, 2.23%.
With a 13.38% vote, ACT-CIS is poised to obtain three congressional seats by securing one guaranteed seat in the first round and potentially earning two additional seats in the second round.
Similarly, the Tingog Party-list with 6.6%, the Ako Bicol party-list with 5.34%, Senior Citizens with 4.69%, and USWAG Ilonggo with 4.57% are poised to win three congressional seats through the same process potentially.
Meanwhile, 4Ps party-list with 3.43%. TUPAD party-list, with 2.34%, and the Akbayan party- list with 2.23%, are set to potentially obtain two congressional seats by securing one guaranteed seat in the first round and obtaining one additional seat in the second round. The remaining 42 seats are allocated to the remaining party-list organization, which may potentially obtain less than 2% of votes in descending order.
