Fresh Mideast conflict feared

US kills Iran top general; revenge set

Baghdad—A US strike killed top Iranian commander Qasem Soleimani at Baghdad’s international airport Friday, dramatically heightening regional tensions and prompting arch-enemy Tehran to vow “revenge.”

Fresh Mideast conflict feared
WEEKEND STRIKES. A member of Iraq’s Hashed al-Shaabi military network waves a national flag as he exits a burning room after breaching the outer wall of the US diplomatic mission in Baghdad on Dec. 31, 2019 during a rally to vent anger over weekend airstrikes that killed pro-Iran fighters in western Iraq. AFP
The Pentagon said US President Donald Trump had ordered Soleimani’s “killing” after a pro-Iran mob this week laid siege to the US embassy in the Iraqi capital.

Iran’s supreme leader Ayatollah Ali Khamenei swiftly vowed “severe revenge” for Soleimani’s death, the biggest escalation yet in a feared proxy war between Iran and the US on Iraqi soil.

As the US Embassy urged all American citizens to leave Iraq “immediately,” Trump tweeted a picture of the US flag without any explanation.

Iraqi President Barham Saleh called for restraint on Friday, as did most world leaders, who reacted with alarm.

“We call on everyone to restrain themselves,” Saleh said in a statement, characterizing the strike as an “aggression” and saying Iraq would be destabilized if “voices of reason” did not prevail.

In Manila, two party-list congressmen raised concerns over the rising US-Iran tensions following the rocket attack in Baghdad, which caused oil prices to spike worldwide.

The Philippines, being oil import-dependent, is heavily affected by movements in the world oil market, which is exacerbated by the threats of war in the petroleum-rich Middle East, from which the country gets most of its supply.

READ: Latest crisis triggers oil price spurt

A full-scale mideast war would also force about 2.2 million overseas Filipinos working in the region to come home, including over 1 million OFWs in Saudi Arabia, a key US ally and rival of Iran in the region.

Fresh Mideast conflict feared

Rep. Michael Defensor of Anakalusugan said any increase in oil prices locally will have a direct effect in freight and in transportation. 

“We hope that the tension will de-escalate so as not to drag the Middle East region, which produces a third of the entire oil production in the world and affects the entirety of the global economy,” said Defensor.

“We have to watch the developments closely. If the tensions escalate to further armed conflict, then expect multiple issues that will trouble the Philippines from the rise of petroleum products that would generally lead to inflation to OFW issues,” added Rep. Jericho Nograles of PBA Party-list.

“Let us also not discount changes in US dollar values that will definitely affect our stock market,” added Nograles, a deputy majority leader.

Malacañang had yet to comment on the situation as of presstime. President Rodrigo Duterte was in Davao del Sur but had canceled his two scheduled appearances there.

Early Friday, a volley of missiles hit Baghdad’s international airport, striking a convoy belonging to the Hashed al-Shaabi, an Iraqi paramilitary force with close ties to Iran.

Just a few hours later, Iran’s Revolutionary Guard Corps announced Soleimani “was martyred in an attack by America on Baghdad airport this morning”.

The Hashed confirmed both Soleimani and its deputy chief Abu Mahdi al-Muhandis were killed in what it said was a “US strike that targeted their car on the Baghdad International Airport road.”

The Hashed is a network of mostly Shiite armed units, many of whom have close ties to Tehran but which have been officially incorporated into Iraq’s state security forces.

Soleimani headed the Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps’ Quds Force foreign operations arm and also served as Iran’s pointman on Iraq, visiting the country in times of turmoil. 

Muhandis was the Hashed’s deputy chief but was widely recogniZed as the real shot-caller within the group.

Both were sanctioned by the United States. 

An Iraqi official told AFP that Muhandis had gone to Baghdad airport to pick up Soleimani, “which is something he usually doesn’t do.”

Fresh Mideast conflict feared

The pair will be buried on Saturday, and Iraq’s parliament is set to hold an emergency meeting on the strike on the same day.

The Pentagon said Soleimani had been “actively developing plans to attack American diplomats and service members in Iraq and throughout the region.”

It said it took “decisive defensive action to protect US personnel abroad by killing Qasem Soleimani,” but did not specify how. 

Iran’s Foreign Minister Mohammad Javad Zarif slammed the US strike as “extremely dangerous and a foolish escalation,” as Khamenei declared three days of mourning.

The Iraqi prime minister said the strike was a “flagrant violation” of a security accord with the US, warning it would “spark a devastating war in Iraq.”

A paramilitary group, Asaib Ahl al-Haq, urged its fighters to be on high alert while militiaman-turned-cleric Moqtada Sadr reactivated his Mahdi Army, nearly a decade after dissolving the notoriously anti-American force. 

And in Lebanon, the leader of the Tehran-backed Hezbollah group, Hassan Nasrallah, warned of “punishment for these criminal assassins”.

But there were daring celebrations in Baghdad’s Tahrir Square, the epicenter of a three-month-old protest movement that has slammed the Iraqi government as corrupt and beholden to Tehran. 

“Oh Qasem Soleimani, this is a divine victory,” demonstrators chanted as some danced in the streets.

Analysts said the strike—which sent world oil prices soaring—would be a game-changer in the tensions between Iran and the US. 

“Trump changed the rules—he wanted (Soleimani) eliminated,” said Ramzy Mardini, a researcher at the US Institute of Peace.

Soleimani “didn’t appreciate that his actions of threatening another hostage crisis at the (US) embassy changed the way things were going to be done,” Mardini said. 

READ: Trump threatens Iran after attack

Phillip Smyth, a US-based specialist in Shiite armed groups, described the strike as “the most major decapitation strike that the US has ever pulled off”. 

He told AFP it would have “bigger” ramifications than the 2011 US operation that killed Al-Qaeda chief Osama bin Laden and the 2019 American raid that killed Islamic State group Abu Bakr al-Baghdadi. 

“There is no comparison,” Smyth added.

The developments come after an unprecedented attack on the US mission in Baghdad. 

A mob of Hashed supporters surrounded the US embassy on Tuesday angered by American air strikes that killed 25 fighters from the network’s hardline Kataeb Hezbollah faction, which is backed by Iran. 

The US had acted in response to a rocket attack days earlier that had killed an American contractor working in Iraq. 

Trump had blamed Iran for a spate of rocket attacks targeting US forces as well as the embassy siege, saying: “They will pay a very BIG PRICE! This is not a Warning, it is a Threat.”

In the US Congress, which was not told in advance of Friday’s attack, reaction was split along party lines.

“Wow—the price of killing and injuring Americans has just gone up drastically,” tweeted Republican Senator Lindsey Graham.

Democratic former vice president Joe Biden, his party’s leading contender for the White House, however, warned that Trump had “just tossed a stick of dynamite into a tinderbox”.

Ties between the US and Iran have deteriorated since Washington pulled out of the landmark nuclear deal with Tehran in 2018 and reimposed crippling sanctions.

The United States led the 2003 invasion against then-dictator Saddam Hussein and has worked closely with Iraqi officials since.

Fresh Mideast conflict feared
WEEKEND STRIKES. At left, the official FB page of Iraqi’s military joint operations shows a destroyed vehicle on fire following a US strike on Friday. AFP
But its influence has waned compared with that of Tehran, which has carefully crafted personal ties with Iraqi politicians and armed factions. With Maricel V. Cruz

Topics: US strike , Qasem Soleimani , Donald Trump , Ayatollah Ali Khamenei
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