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Alyansa bets still dominating race for Senate—SWS

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The administration’s Alyansa ng Bayan slate continues to dominate the race for the Senate’s 12 seats with eight of its bets in the winning circle, according to a Social Weather Stations survey released Wednesday.

Two candidates representing Partido Demokratiko Pilipino (PDP-Laban), and two independent candidates were also among the top 12, the surver commissioned by Stratbase Consultancy said.

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Rep. Erwin Tulfo leads the race at 45 percent, followed by reelectionist Sen. Bong Go of PDP-Laban at 38 percent, while Sen. Lito Lapid secures third place with 36 percent. Former Senate President Tito Sotto and independentt Ben Tulfo, brother of Erwin, are tied in fourth to fifth place, each garnering 34 percent.

Reelectionists Bong Revilla and Pia Cayetano shared the sixth to seventh spots with 33 percent each. Comebacking Ping Lacson and incumbent Ronald Dela Rosa are also tied in eighth to ninth place, both receiving 32 percent.

Former Sen. Manny Pacquiao, Makati City Mayor Abby Binay, and television host Willie Revillame are in a tight race for the 10th to 12th spots, each securing 30 percent.

Another SWS poll showed that only eight out of the 156 party-list groups would secure at least one seat in the House of Representatives.

Leading the race is 4PS (Pagtibayin at Palaguin ang Pangkabuhayang Pilipino) with 11.8-percent voter preference, though this reflects a decline from 13.51 percent in December 2024.

Duterte Youth follows in second place, registering 6.05 percent, a significant increase from 4.14 percent in December.

According to the Party-List System Act (Republic Act No. 7941), party-list groups must secure at least 2 percent of the total votes to earn one seat in the House of Representatives. Those surpassing this threshold are eligible for additional seats, with a maximum of three seats per party-list group.

Among all groups, only 4PS and Duterte Youth are projected to win the maximum three seats in Congress.

ACT-CIS ranks third with 5.41 percent, which is slightly lower than its 5.63-percent voter preference in December 2024. With this percentage, ACT-CIS is expected to secure two House seats.

Meanwhile, five other party-list groups have surpassed the 2-percent threshold, guaranteeing them at least one seat each. Senior Citizens garnered 3.43 percent, while Ako Bicol followed closely with 3.27 percent, reflecting a decline from its 3.56-percent rating in December.

Tingog secured 2.75 percent, also slightly lower than its previous 2.86 percent. Despite these declines, both Ako Bicol and Tingog remain among the top eight.

FPJ Panday Bayanihan and Kabataan also made it to the list, securing one seat each. FPJ Panday Bayanihan recorded 2.45 percent and Kabataan saw 2.11 percent. Both party-list groups have gained traction, ensuring their positions in Congress.

The survey, commissioned by Stratbase Consultancy, was conducted from January 17 to 20, with 1,800 respondents nationwide. It has a ±2.31 percent margin of error.

Editor’s Note: This is an updated article. Originally posted with the headline “SWS: Alyansa bets dominate pre-election polls in February.”

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