The Philippine economy likely grew 5.3 percent year-on-year in the fourth quarter of 2025, led by robust global demand for electronics exports, according to Moody’s Analytics.
This represents an acceleration from the 4-percent growth recorded in the third quarter. While the export sector provided a significant boost, Moody’s analytics said extreme weather events acted as a major headwind, disrupting agricultural output, damaging infrastructure and dampening household consumption during the same period.
Moody’s also expects the gross domestic product to post a full-year growth of 5.1 percent, below the government’s revised growth target of 5.5 percent to 6.5 percent. The Philippine Statistics Authority (PSA) will release the official figures on Thursday.
Economic managers had cautioned that growth in 2025 might be tempered by external factors and internal challenges, such as reduced government spending linked to delays in major flood control projects.
