“The collective message stresses the need for a strong and resilient trilateral alliance to counter coercive forces”
As the “Trump 2.0” presidency reshapes global dynamics with its disruptive foreign policy, the Philippines, Japan, and the US must skillfully navigate shifting geopolitical tides.
Strengthening trilateral cooperation is not just strategic—it is essential to maintaining regional security and stability in an increasingly unpredictable Indo-Pacific.
At a recent forum hosted by the Stratbase Institute and the Japan Foundation Manila themed “Navigating Shifting Tides: Security Challenges and Strategic Opportunities for the Philippines, Japan, and the US in the New Trump Administration,” leading experts tackled these shifting tides, dissecting the challenges and opportunities ahead.
The collective message stresses the need for a strong and resilient trilateral alliance to counter coercive forces and protect economic and security interests in the region.
The Indo-Pacific region is facing maritime incursions to economic coercion, cyberattacks, and climate-related risks. As Ambassador Endo Kazuya aptly put it,
“The joint statement of Japan, the US, and the Philippines reaffirmed our strong opposition to the unlawful maritime claims, the militarization of reclaimed features, and the threatening and provocative activities in the South China Sea.”
For years, Japan and the US have recognized our country as a key player in countering China’s aggression.
As Dr. Renato de Castro of the Stratbase Institute noted, their engagement has “laid the foundation” for what has become a robust trilateral relationship.
This commitment must deepen if we are to remain resilient against coercive actions that threaten not just our sovereignty but also our economic and political stability.
Economic security is just as crucial as military deterrence. Dr. Ken Jimbo of Keio University emphasized the need to “dramatically increase the scale of official security assistance, not only for equipment itself but also for infrastructure— Enhanced Defense Cooperation Agreement (EDCA) sites, ports, airports, and ship-repairing facilities—which are critical to enhancing US commitments and strengthening trilateral cooperation.”
By investing in defense infrastructure and interoperability, we bolster our security and fortify our economic future by ensuring safe and open trade routes.
We must also address non-traditional security threats—cyberattacks, transnational crime, and climate-related disasters—which pose significant economic risks.
Dr. Saya Kiba of Kobe City University underscored the need for security cooperation that delivers “tangible public goods,” ensuring that our trilateral efforts benefit ordinary citizens, not just governments.
Likewise, Mr. Ben Suzuki of the Japan Foundation Manila highlighted the importance of broader regional collaboration, noting that a “free and open Indo-Pacific” requires strong ties with other like-minded nations, such as India and Vietnam.
Economic growth is a key dimension of trilateral cooperation. retired Rear Admiral Rommel Jude Ong of the Ateneo School of Government pointed out that “shipbuilding remains a critical requirement for the Philippines,” emphasizing how industrial cooperation can create jobs and enhance our economic resilience.
Strengthening our defense industry is not just about security—it is about providing opportunities for Filipinos and driving the economy forward.
As we navigate these shifting tides, we must adopt a forward-looking, people-centered security strategy. Prof. Victor Andres “Dindo” Manhit, President of the Stratbase Institute, stressed that “Japan, the Philippines, and the US must deepen their strategic collaboration.
Today’s geopolitical architecture calls for turning risks into strategic opportunities.” By reinforcing trilateral cooperation, regional stability will be ensured while new avenues for economic opportunities will be opened.
The Filipino people understand the stakes—as reflected in the February 2025 SWS survey, an overwhelming 8 out of 10 Filipinos favor strengthening alliances and joint military efforts to defend our territorial and economic rights in the West Philippine Sea.
This reflects a strong awareness that our security partnerships are not abstract diplomatic agreements but tangible safeguards for our future.
Mr. Gregory Poling of the Center for Strategic and International Studies pointed out, “The alliance is not just between a single president and the Philippines—it is between the governments of both countries, backed by legislative support.”
This means our alliances remain strong, underpinned by strategic interests that transcend political cycles.
This trilateral tango demands precision, trust, and commitment. Navigating the Trump 2.0 foreign policy will require diplomacy, pragmatism, and strategic foresight.
Mr. Hiroyuki Akita, a commentator for Nikkei, noted that Japan and the Philippines should frame their proposals within “Make America Great Again” to engage effectively with President Trump.
While this approach may require patience, it ensures the strengthening of trilateral partnership.
Ultimately, security cooperation must deliver real benefits to Filipinos. Beyond military deterrence, a stable Indo-Pacific safeguards our economy, protects livelihoods, and upholds democratic values.
Strengthening trilateral ties means securing trade routes, enhancing resilience against cyber and climate threats, and attracting investments that create jobs.
By prioritizing a people-centered security approach, the Philippines can turn risks into opportunities and ensure a future of stability and prosperity in a free and open Indo-Pacific.
