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Strong jobs data bolsters economy

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WASHINGTON”•The US economy had another strong month of job creation in February, the Labor Department reported Friday”•a result sure to boost already high expectations that the Fed will raise interest rates this week.

President Donald Trump’s White House also seized on the news as a validation of its economic agenda, though much of this has yet to take shape.

Employers added a net 235,000 new positions last month, with the manufacturing, health care, mining and construction sectors all adding positions.

That was well above analyst forecasts and just shy of the 238,000 new positions added in January.

And in another sign that jobs markets are tightening, the already low unemployment rate fell a tenth of a point to 4.7 percent, leaving the unemployed population at 7.5 million.

That decline came even as the labor force participation rate rose to 63 percent, a level not surpassed in almost three years, meaning people who had been on the sidelines, perhaps discouraged from looking for a job, are rejoining the labor market.

With February’s robust job creation and an upward revision to January’s numbers, the world’s largest economy has added an average of 209,000 new jobs over the last three months.

Wall Street closed modestly higher after the news, following a downward trend for much of the week. The blue-chip Dow Jones Industrial Average rose 0.2 percent to 20,902.98.

The Federal Reserve has sent strong signals this month that it is likely to hike rates, absent a negative surprise in economic data. 

Job creation, unemployment and inflation have all approached the central bank’s targets in recent months.

Ian Shepherdson of Pantheon Macroeconomics said the latest jobs numbers virtually guaranteed this, “barring an asteroid strike on Washington.”

Wages also accelerated in February, with average hourly earnings rising six cents, or 0.2 percent, to $26.09, following January’s five-cent increase”•another sign employers are having greater difficulty filling open positions.

Average weekly earnings stood at $897.50, up 2.5 percent over February of last year.

Shepherdson and other economists also pointed to the unseasonably warm temperatures as a factor boosting jobs growth, including in the construction sector, which added 98,000 jobs over the last two months.

“We’re pretty sure that both January and February payrolls enjoyed a weather boost,” Shepherdson wrote in a client note.

Shepherdson said current trends suggested the unemployment rate could hit 4.5 percent before June, when he expects the Fed to again raise rates.

In the goods-producing sector, payrolls rose by 95,000, the highest level since March of 2000. Manufacturing, which has trended steadily upwards since early 2010, added 28,000 new positions for the month.

Employment in the retail sector fell by 26,000 jobs. 

Among major demographic groups, the unemployment rate fell for most but rose by 0.4 points among African Americans to 8.1 percent. 

The share of long-term unemployed, or those without work for more than 26 weeks, was little changed at 1.8 million.

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