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Tuesday, March 5, 2024

17 party-list wins likely

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The women’s group Gabriela leads 17 other party-list groups that will likely get at least one congressional seat, according to results of the latest Social Weather Stations survey released on Monday.

According to the survey of 1,500 respondents from March 30 to April 2, the top party-list groups would likely be Gabriela with 6.20 percent, Amin with 5.77%, Kabayan 5.19%, Senior Citizens 4.62%, Agri 4.41%, Ang Kabuhayan 4.17%, ACT Teachers 3.25%, Bayan Muna 3.13%, An Waray 3.05%, Agap 2.93%, Akbayan 2.86%, Buhay 2.75%, Kalinga 2.71%, Asenso 2.58%, Ako Bicol 2.20%, AAMBIS-OWA 2.12%, and Yacap 2.07%.

SWS said these groups would likely get 17 seats out of the maximum 59 seats reserved for the party-list system.

The remaining 42 seats will be allocated to the parties next in rank until all available seats are distributed on the condition that any qualified party is entitled to a maximum of only three seats.

The next ranking parties are Ang Edukasyon, A Teacher Inc. Abakada, Magdalo, COOP-NATCCO, PBA, Kabataan, Abono, Anac-IP, Abamin, 1Pacman, 1-Care, Acts-OFW, 1-Pabahay, Awat Mindanao, Tama, Butil, LPGMA, 1-Sagip, Asean Inc., Alay Buhay, Abang Lingkod, Aangat Tayo, Global and Diwa.

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The vote percentages are based on the sample of validated voters only; they exclude adults who are not validated voters.

The area estimates were weighted by the 2016 Commission on Elections data on validated voters to obtain the national estimates.

A validated voter is a registered voter whose biometrics have been captured digitally (i.e., digital images of his/her photograph, fingerprints, and signature have been recorded) by the VRM. 

Of the 1,500 sample adults, 1,377 or 92% are validated voters, 268 in Metro Manila, 278 in North Luzon, 272 in South Luzon, 280 in Visayas and 279 in Mindanao (sampling error margins of ±3% for national percentages, and ±6% each for Metro Manila, North Luzon, South Luzon, Visayas and Mindanao).

     The March 8-11, 2016 survey used face-to-face interviews of a nationally representative sample of 1,200 validated voters, 300 each in Metro Manila, Balance of Luzon, Visayas and Mindanao. 

The sample in this survey became the panel for the Bilang Pilipino SWS Mobile Survey, which fielded the voter preferences questions on March 18, March 22, March 30, March 31 and April 1.

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