Friday, May 15, 2026
Today's Print

So close, and yet so far

“Trump now threatens Colombia, Cuba, even backdoor Mexico and far-away Greenland of Denmark”

Donald’s golpe in Venezuela was the New Year’s surprise. The “empire” struck with stealth, and for now, its “emperor” is on a roll.

Savoring his misplaced victory, he now threatens Colombia, Cuba, even backdoor Mexico and far-away Greenland of Denmark.

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Iran is wracked by protests that will engulf the Ayatollah, and with little or no nudge from Trump, it may soon fall, hopefully for the better.

Given how the rules-based international order has been violently discombobulated by the Caracas blitz, many analysts speculate on how a weakened Russia and a strengthened China, the geo-political rivals of Trump’s empire, will use the event as justification to further their economic and political interests, even lebensraum.

Trump’s action against Maduro was not about narcotics. It is about denying China one source of petrol, and the defense of the petrodollar from the threats of an expanding BRICS which is now challenging the “mighty” dollar as single world trade currency.

Colombia too has plenty of resources aside from being “the” cocaine factory.

Cuba has been a pain in America’s ass, so near yet so defiant since 1959 when Fulgencio Batista was ousted by Fidel Castro.

Mexico’s government is constantly threatened by drug cartels that act as marketing arms and logistics providers for narcotics.

These are inexcusable but convenient excuses for the neanderthal Trump to intervene.

Greenland is otra cosa however. It is not within the empire’s hemisphere as defined by the 1823 Monroe Doctrine, being some 2,000 miles from mainland USA. But it is rich in untapped resources, whether oil, gas, and rare earth metals.

Forgotten for centuries when less desolate continents were fodder for colonialist greed, it has now become apple in the covetous eyes of the delusional emperor of the world.

Giddy over his Caracas caper, Trump now wants to run Venezuela as if it was a satrapy of the United States.

Venezuela is a sovereign country, recognized by the world as such, unlike Taiwan which is recognized by only 11 of the world’s 193 UN member states.

But Taiwan is closest to home. How will the Venezuela caper impact on China’s leadership, who wants Taiwan re-united with the mainland?

An armed conflict in a Taiwan take-over by China would affect the Philippines, particularly our 180,000 citizens who work and reside there.

The answer to our fears will be written between now and 2028, so close and yet so far.

Far enough because it’s two years down the road; close enough because events will gallop in this Year of the Fire Horse, as it has already been precipitated by Trump’s kidnap of Maduro.

Will Xi Jinping, having been given template by Trump, annex Taiwan this year, or next year, the hundredth anniversary of the People’s Liberation Army?

If might is right trumps the rules-based international order violated by its self-proclaimed proponent, then Xi has been given green light to fulfill his pledge of incorporating “renegade” Taiwan into the mainland.

But do not mistake that 2027 timeline as cast in stone. It makes for sentimental reason, nothing more.

Xi, after all is a Snake, which chooses the perfect time to strike, and patience is in the Han genetic make-up.

Remember Mao Zedong’s “one step backward, two steps forward”? Xi need not even step backward. He can just wait.

Close enough or distant yet, 2028, the Year of the Metal Monkey, is better awaited before China resolves its Taiwan issue.

By May of 2028, Lai Ching-te shall either begin to serve a second term, or a Kuomintang-TPP common candidate, “friendlier” with the mainland, shall have taken over Taiwan leadership.

Why would China risk an expensive adventure just to fulfill a PLA milestone when it can wait for developments in a year? Why will it rain fire upon a highly developed Taiwan and kill many of its Han cousins when patience could achieve acceptable modus vivendi?

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