Cases in NCR Plus 8 bubble ‘on downward trend’ — OCTA

Areas under the NCR Plus Eight bubble are now “on a downward trend” with reproduction number less than 0.55, amid the COVID-19 pandemic, the independent OCTA Research Group said Wednesday.

OCTA said the National Capital Region’s latest reproduction number was at 0.52, lower than the previous 0.55 that was the lowest since May.

Reproduction rate refers to the number of people infected by one case. A reproduction number below 1 indicates the transmission of the virus is slowing down.

OCTA fellow Dr. Guido David, in his tweet, said all areas covered by the NCR Plus Eight bubble had reproduction numbers “less than 0.55” as of October 19, 2021.

NCR Plus Eight refers to the NCR plus Cebu City, which has a reproduction number of 0.52; Davao City, 0.49; Batangas, 0.51; Bulacan, 0.50; Cavite, 0.43; Laguna, 0.45; Pampanga, 0.52; and Rizal, 0.55.

In terms of positivity, Laguna has the highest at 17 percent, with Cebu City and Cavite having the lowest at 6 percent both. NCR’s positivity rate is at 8 percent.

Davao City, meanwhile, has the highest ICU utilization rate among the nine areas with 68 percent, followed by Rizal with 67 percent and Batangas with 65 percent.

Bulacan has the lowest with 43 percent.

As far as average daily attack rate (ADAR) is concerned, NCR has the highest with 8.79 and Cebu City the lowest at 2.47.

NCR, Davao City, Cavite, Laguna and Rizal are under Alert Level 3. Batangas and Cebu City are under Alert Level 2.

The Alert Level System has yet to be implemented in Pampanga and Bulacan.

Meanwhile, the Department of Health logged 3,656 new COVID-19 cases Wednesday, the lowest daily tally recorded since July 13, as two laboratories failed to submit data on time.

“The low number of reported recoveries and deaths today are due to technical issues with COVIDKaya. Additional recoveries and deaths shall be reflected in the case bulletin in the following days,” the DOH said.

The new cases brought the total number of COVID-19 cases to 2,735,369.

Active cases, meanwhile, stood at 67,061.

Of these cases, 77.9 percent are mild, 6.8 percent are asymptomatic, 8.69 percent are moderate, 4.6 percent are severe, and 2.0 percent are in critical condition.

For its part, the Supreme Court has allowed appellate collegiate courts composed of the Court of Appeals, Sandiganbayan and Court of Tax Appeals in the National Capital Region to conduct in-court proceedings on urgent matters starting October 20 until October 29.

In a circular issued by Acting Chief Justice Estela Perlas Bernabe, while Chief Justice Alexander Gesmundo is on wellness leave, the SC stressed the urgency of a case should be determined by the appellate courts’ presiding justices or the justices who head the courts’ divisions.

The circular requires that attendance during in-court proceedings should be limited to lawyers, parties, and witnesses required to participate.

Topics: OCTA Research Group , NCR Plus Eight bubble , reproduction number , COVID-19 pandemic
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