Grace Poe surges in newest survey

Binay retains lead but sheds 5 points, Pulse Asia says

SENATOR Grace Poe-Llamanzares surged in the latest presidential preference survey of pollster Pulse Asia, jumping eight percentage points from 10 percent to 18 percent behind Vice President Jejomar Binay who slipped five points but remained the top presidential favorite.

The survey of 1,200 Filipino voters that was conducted Nov. 14-20 showed the 46-year-old Poe, daughter of the late movie star Fernando Poe Jr, posting substantial increases in Metro Manila, Luzon and Mindanao and a statistically-negligible one point drop in the Visayas.

Compared to the last Pulse Asia survey in September, the November poll showed Poe gaining nine points from her 10 percent in Metro Manila and 11 points in the rest of Luzon from 9 percent.

In Mindanao, she also jumped from 8 percent to 19 percent, but lost one point from 14 percent to 13 percent in the Visayas, home region of Interior Secretary Mar Roxas, the presumptive presidential candidate of the ruling Liberal Party.

Poe’s media officer Judith Sto. Domingo said the senator was unavailable for comment, although sources in the senator’s camp said she was aware of the survey but did not want to comment until Pulse Asia officially releases the results today.

According to Pulse Asia, Poe posted double-digit ratings across the board: 17 points among the ABC, 20 points among the D, and 15 points among the E. In the September survey, she managed 9 points among the ABC classes, 12 points among the D, and 6 points among the E.

Significantly, Poe is in a tie with Binay among the ABC, and is within striking distance in Luzon.

While Binay remained the top presidential favorite in the survey with 26 percent of respondents, that was a decrease of five points from 31 percent in September.

“[But] the 5 percent decline in marginal, according to Pulse Asia,” said Binay’s spokesman Joselito Salgado.

Salgado said the survey in fact “was welcome news because the survey was taken at a time when the VP’s detractors were aggressively throwing mud against him in the Senate and in media.”

“For us, it means that the people have seen through the motives of the senators who style themselves as presidentiables. The people have seen the absence of substance behind the posturing and drama,” he added.

The survey showed that Binay suffered his biggest drop in Luzon where his 32 percent preference rating in September dropped to 22 percent in the latest survey.

The vice president lost 4 points in Metro Manila and 3 points in Mindanao, but gained a negligible one point the Visayas, where he has recently had  a number of speaking engagements.

“[But] if the May 2016 elections were held during the survey period, 26 percent of Filipinos would elect Vice President Jejomar C. Binay as their next president,” Pulse Asia said in a statement.

“Across geographic areas and socio-economic classes, Vice President Binay is the leading presidential candidate in the Visayas (28 percent) and the poorest Class E (30 percent),” the pollster added.

Almost the same voter preferences are obtained by Binay and Poe in Metro Manila (29 percent vs 19 percent), Mindanao (30 percent vs 19 percent) and Class D (26 percent vs 20 percent)

Aside from Poe, other supposed candidates placing behind Binay were Senator Miriam Defensor-Santiago (12 percent), former President Joseph Estrada (10 percent) and Senator Francis Escudero (7 percent).

Also notable in the survey was the showing of Interior Secretary Mar Roxas, who lost seven points from 13 percent to 6 percent, worse than Binay’s five-point slip.

Pulse Asia said the survey had an error margin of ±3 points and listed 14 names for respondents to choose from while the September survey had 15 candidates in the list.

Other supposed candidates on the list were Senator Ferdinand Marcos Jr (4 percent), Alan Peter Cayetano (3 percent), former Senator Panfilo Lacson (2 percent), Senate President Franklin Drilon (2 percent), Senator Ramon “Bong” Revilla Jr (1 percent), former defense secretary Gilbert Teodoro (1 percent), former senator Richard Gordon (1 percent) and Speaker Feliciano Belmonte (0.4 percent).

During the time of the survey, Pulse Asia said Binay had just withdrawn from a scheduled debate with Senator Antonio Trillanes IV and had just been battered with allegations of corruption by his former vice mayor Ernesto Mercado.



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