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COVID infection in NCR at 5-month low

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The COVID-19 positivity rate in the National Capital Region (NCR) has gone down to 8.9 percent, the lowest positivity rate in the region since July 4, according to the independent monitoring OCTA Research Group.

According to OCTA fellow Dr. Guido David, the seven-day positivity rate in the NCR decreased to 8.9 percent as of November 2 from 10.7 percent on October 26.

The positivity rate refers to the percentage of people who were found positive for COVID-19 among the total number of individuals tested.

“The peak positivity rate in this current wave was 19.1 percent on October 4,” David said in a tweet.

David said the COVID-19 reproduction number in the region was at 0.65 as of October 31, with a one-week growth rate of -35 percent.

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The OCTA research fellow said the seven-day average of new cases in the NCR also went down from 411 to 269 as of November 3.

David said this is equivalent to the average daily attack rate (ADAR) of 1.87 per 100,000 population.

ADAR is the number showing the average incidence of new cases in a period per 100,000 people.

Healthcare utilization remained low at 27.8 percent, while ICU occupancy was at 21.6 percent.

“If current trends continue, this would project to less than 100 new cases per day in the NCR by end of November,” David said.

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