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Saturday, April 20, 2024

Bank presidents bullish on two-year economic outlook

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Banks remain bullish on the growth outlook of the industry over the next two years, on the back of the solid macroeconomic fundamentals, results of the maiden Banking Sector Outlook Survey show.

The first semester survey released by the Bangko Sentral ng Pilipinas on Wednesday gathered the sentiments of the presidents/chief executives/country managers of 114 banks in the country related to their growth outlook and risk assessments, business performance strategies and insights on regulation and supervision within a two-year horizon.

It is also part of the BSP’s surveillance toolkit to promote the sustained resilience of the banking system.

Survey results showed that about 66.7 percent of the respondents considered a stable outlook for the banking system, while the remaining 33.3 percent viewed that banking system would  be stronger in the next two years.

“This is anchored on the respondents’ economic growth forecast of 5 to 7 percent. The stable outlook for the banking system can be attributed to the strong macroeconomic fundamentals, adequate liquidity, rising capital buffers and profitability of banks,” the BSP said.   

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Majority of the respondents believed that expanding client base, deepening of customer relationships and developing new products were necessary to grow the bank. 

With the rapid pace of digital technology reshaping the banking industry, respondents underscored the need to optimize available technology.

The banking industry also supports the use of technology-enabled solutions as survey results revealed that 81 out of 114 or 71.1 percent of respondent banks had plans to use technology in the banking transactions in the next two years. 

Managing reputational and operational risks, data and cybersecurity enhancement, upholding consumer protection, and increasing capital and liquidity ratios are also deemed important to protect the bank. 

All the banking group respondents, except for those from rural/cooperative banks, cited compliance with mandatory credits to Agri-Agra and MSME as the most challenging area in terms of compliance.

Respondents also cited that compliance with the BSP’s reportorial requirements and regulation on anti-money laundering as an ongoing concern.

“Overall, the maiden conduct of BSOS discloses the banks’ awareness of internal and external risks affecting their business. The BSOS similarly shows that banks are formulating strategies to address these concerns while positioning for opportunities particularly from financial technology,” the Bangko Sentral said.

It said the bullish outlook implied that banks would continue to support the sustained development of the national economy.

“This resonates with the BSP’s overarching policy objective to promote a stable and sound banking system that is globally competitive, dynamic and responsive to the demands of a developing economy,” it said.

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