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Friday, April 19, 2024

Stocks extend rally; URC, other blue chips advance

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The stock market extended its rally Wednesday as investors continued to pick up blue chip issues that have been battered in recent sessions.

The Philippine Stock Exchange Index advanced 135.02 points, or 2.1 percent, to 6,445.01 on a value turnover of P5.3 billion. Gainers beat losers, 114 to 71, with 47 issues unchanged.

SM Investments Corp. of the Sy Group jumped 5.9 percent to P839, while Ayala Corp. of the Ayala Group climbed 4.8 percent to P650.

Universal Robina Corp. of the Gokongwei Group, the biggest snack food maker, rose 3.7 percent to P118.20, while parent JG Summit Holdings Inc. added 2.4 percent to 52.50.

Meanwhile, the rest of Asian equities mostly fell on Wednesday and the euro wallowed at a 20-year low as recession fears flowed through markets, while political uncertainty hit the pound as UK Prime Minister Boris Johnson suffered a series of resignations.

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Adding to the uncertainty was a fresh flare-up of coronavirus cases in parts of China that  has seen some cities locked down as part of officials’ zero-COVID policy, reviving bad memories about strict measures in Shanghai and Beijing earlier this year that hammered the economy.

Investors are growing increasingly concerned that sharp central bank interest rate hikes aimed at fighting decades-high inflation will lead to a contraction in leading economies, while a worsening energy crisis is compounding the problem in Europe.

While there was a little help from speculation that US President Joe Biden was considering removing some Trump-era tariffs on Chinese goods, equities struggled.

Hong Kong, Tokyo, Shanghai, Sydney, Seoul, Taipei and Jakarta all sank, though Wellington, Bangkok and Mumbai saw gains.

Investors were racing “to price in both a US recession… and also the potential for wider virus restrictions in China following overnight developments,” OANDA’s Jeffrey Halley said.

“The prospect of more COVID zero restrictions in China is an unwelcome dose of reality for Asia and is certainly carrying more weight, although Asian currency weakness is also in play,” he said in a note.

Both main crude contracts edged up after being pummeled Tuesday, when WTI sank nearly nine percent below $100 a barrel for the first time since April and Brent shed around 10 percent.

Those losses came on expectations that any recession will slam demand, despite tight supplies caused by Russia’s war in Ukraine.

And Citigroup said in a note that a recession could lead prices to drop as low as $65 this year if OPEC and other major producers do not step in to provide support and companies do not invest.

There are also signs that the high cost of fuel is hurting demand, in turn pushing prices down. Earlier this week, the head of Asia at crude trading giant Vitol said he saw signs consumers were beginning to feel the pressure of high prices–a phenomenon known as demand destruction.

Still, Goldman Sachs said it thought the commodity would remain elevated.

“While the odds of a recession are indeed rising, it is premature for the oil market to be succumbing to such concerns,” the bank’s analysts including Damien Courvalin said in a note.  With AFP

“The global economy is still growing, with the rise in oil demand this year set to significantly outperform GDP growth.” With AFP

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