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Wednesday, April 24, 2024

Market retreats; Apollo leads gainers

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Stocks fell Friday to end a three-day advance, as investors eyed sharp losses on Wall Street that came after forecast-beating jobs data suggested the Federal Reserve would have to keep lifting interest rates.

The PSE index, the 30-company benchmark of the Philippine Stock Exchange, fell 96 points, or 1.38 percent, to close at 6,667.97, as all six subsectors declined.

The broader all-share index also lost 37 points, or 1.05 percent, to settle at 3,513.07, on a value turnover of P5.46 billion. Losers outnumbered gainers, 124 to 69, while 41 issues were unchanged.

Four of the 10 most active stocks ended in the green, led by Apollo Global Capital Inc. which climbed 15.15 percent to P0.038.

Meanwhile, most Asian markets also traded lower. Regional markets have enjoyed a strong start to the year, largely thanks to optimism over China’s reopening and signs it is toning down its tough talk on a number of issues domestically and geopolitically.

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But long-running fears that central bank policy tightening would cause a recession were brought back into play by figures showing more jobs than expected were created in the US private sector last month.

The reading from payroll firm ADP indicated the labour market remained tight—putting upward pressure on wages—meaning the Federal Reserve still had much work to do in its battle against decades-high inflation.

Several top Fed officials also lined up Thursday to warn the bank would likely have to keep lifting borrowing costs this year, with some suggesting they could go as high as 5.4 percent.

Minutes from the December meeting reinforced bets on further tightening.

Thursday’s data makes the release of a key non-farm payrolls (NFP) report later in the day much more important.

“What the Fed really wants to see is some slack build up in the labor markets, in hopes it can do this gently without creating much of a downturn,” former Indian central bank boss Raghuram Rajan told Bloomberg Television.

“But it may well be that by the time it seems that it will have raised rates enough, that the momentum takes us down to a mild recession at the very least.” With AFP

SPI Asset Management’s Stephen Innes added: “Although ADP has not been the sharpest predictor for NFP, any incremental evidence that the labour market remains hot supports the Fed’s hawkish impulse.”

Asian markets were mixed after all three main indexes on Wall Street fell more than one percent.

Hong Kong dipped after three days of gains that saw it add more than six percent, while Singapore, Mumbai, Wellington, and Manila were also in the red. Shanghai edged up, with help from reports saying China was considering relaxing strict rules on borrowing for property developers.

Tokyo, Sydney, Seoul, Taipei, Bangkok, and Jakarta also rose.

Still, there is a general sense of optimism in Asia as China emerges from almost three years of zero-COVID lockdowns and other strict containment measures.

There is hope that the easing of restrictions will see a boom in countries’ tourism industries, and Hong Kong is a major beneficiary, with the border set to open at the weekend.

Still, China’s swift exit from zero-Covid has also caused plenty of concern as infections soar across the country and put further pressure on the already stuttering economy.

This has helped cause a slump in oil prices as investors bet on a drop in demand from the world’s biggest importer of the commodity. Both main contracts rose Friday but they are both down almost 10 percent on the week.

London, Paris, and Frankfurt all rose after opening. With AFP

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