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Friday, April 19, 2024

Stock market rises; ALI leads advancers

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Stocks rose for a second day after the Bangko Sentral ng Pilipinas raised the overnight borrowing rate by 75 basis points to tighten its grip on inflation and foreign exchange rate and ensure a steady business environment.

The PSE index, representing the 30 most active shares, climbed 33 points, or 0.5 percent, to 6,437.38, the highest in two months, as all the six subsectors advanced.

The broader all-share index also picked up 8 points, or 0.2 percent, to settle at 3,396.63 on a value turnover of P5.3 billion. Gainers exceeded losers, 106 to 67, while 40 issued were unchanged.

Six of the 10 most active stocks ended in the green, led by Ayala Land Inc. which climbed 4.2 percent to P29.70, and International Container Terminal Services Inc. which rose 2.1 percent to P188.00.

The peso also rose 0.17 percent Friday to close at 57.26 against the US dollar following the BSP’s latest monetary tightening measure.

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Meanwhile, Asian markets were mixed Friday as caution permeated trading floors and investors tried to gauge the outlook for Federal Reserve monetary policy after several officials tried to temper optimism over signs that inflation is slowing.

While the week has been broadly positive for equities following softer-than-expected US consumer and wholesale price figures, a strong reading on retail sales and jobless claims showed plenty of resilience to higher interest rates.

With that in mind, St Louis Fed President James Bullard warned more hikes were needed to bring inflation down from four-decade highs, adding that they might need to go as high as seven percent.

That was followed by Minneapolis Fed boss Neel Kaskari saying he had not witnessed much evidence that underlying demand was cooling and did not want to forecast when the tightening would end.

The comments came after a similar message from other policymakers, who have sought to calm markets, which soared in the wake of last Thursday’s consumer prices reading.

They also fueled fears among traders that the sharp tightening campaign—including four straight bumper 0.75-point increases in a row—would tip the world’s top economy into recession.

On Wednesday, Kansas City Fed chief Esther George said it was unclear how the bank can douse inflation “without having some real slowing” or even a contraction.

Wall Street’s three main indexes ended in the red, and Asia struggled to hold on to the morning’s momentum.

Hong Kong turned negative after a strong start, even as tech firms rallied and after China indicated it would ease back on some of its strict Covid restrictions and help its troubled property sector.

Tokyo, Shanghai, Singapore, Taipei, and Mumbai were also down, though Sydney, Seoul, Wellington, Manila, Bangkok, and Jakarta edged up.

There was a fear among analysts that the recent rally may have run a little ahead of itself.

“The market believes that inflation is on the downtrend. We also believe that but the fact of inflation having peaked is not a reason for the Fed to turn and cut rates,” Paul Christopher, at Wells Fargo Investment Institute, told Bloomberg Radio.

“That’s the fundamental disconnect that still exists between the Fed and the market.”

And SPI Asset Management’s Stephen Innes added: “Things can turn on a dime, primarily when the fear of missing (out) drives sentiment.

“However, the odds of a pre-Thanksgiving rally are giving way to the hawkish Fed drumbeat and pushback on China reopening plays.”

The pound clawed back some of the losses suffered Thursday after Britain unveiled a budget with 55 billion pounds ($65 billion) of tax hikes and spending cuts that traders fear will deepen a cost-of-living crisis and a recession that could last two years. With AFP

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