Is it all over but the shouting?
"Here are the results of a recent survey."
It’s less than 40 days before the midterm elections but based from almost all polling firms, it’s highly unlikely for the Ocho Diretso to score an upset, except maybe for 2016 losing presidential candidate, Mar Roxas. In the latest survey conducted by The Center, four of the seven incumbent senators who are running for reelection in the scheduled May 13, 2019 national elections are deemed sure of getting reelected. They will most likely be joined in the Senate when the 18th Congress opens in July, 2019 by three former senators and three newcomers from the executive department. The Center released the results of its nationwide survey on senatorial preferences which was conducted on March 24-30, 2019 with some 1,800 respondents that cut across all demographic lines and has a confidence level of 98% and a margin of error of +3%. The Center said that if the elections are to be held on the days the survey was extracted, the most likely winners will be: Sen. Grace Poe who continues to lead the field with 64%. Not far behind is Sen. Cynthia Villar in second spot with 57% while former Sen. Lito Lapid is at third with 51%. Sharing the fourth to fifth spots are Sen. Sonny Angara with 47% and Representative and former Sen. Pia Cayetano with 45%. In 6th to 7th places are: Former Special Assistant to the President Bong Go (44.7%) and Sen. Nancy Binay (43.4%), respectively. Sharing the 8th to 11thplaces are: Former Sen. Jinggoy Estrada (36.3%), former Presidential Political Adviser Francis Tolentino (35.4%), former Philippine National Police Director General Bato dela Rosa (34.7%) and, former Sen. Mar Roxas (34.3%). The Center pointed out that if the voting pattern based on the preferences of those surveyed will hold as the election nears, it is safe to conclude that those in the 8th to 11th places have more than an even chance of getting elected. Ed Malay of The Center said that even if the cast of the 2019 senatorial elections begins to take shape with roughly 40 days to go before the polling booths open on May 13, 2019, the six other candidates who are lodged from the 12th to the 17th spots still have a mathematical chance of pulling it through to the winners’ bracket. This will all depend on how their respective political strategies will adapt to the political landscape that is far different from the previous electoral exercises. The six candidates who share the 12th to 17th spots are: Former Sen. Bong Revilla (32.7%), Sen. Koko Pimentel (32%), Sen. Bam Aquino (31.4%), Gov. Imee Marcos (30.9%), Sen. JV Ejercito (29.4%) and former Sen. Serge Osmena (28.7%). The Center said the lead and positioning of Ms. Poe which has been consistent since the campaign period started in February will most probably hold up to May 13, 2019. It said that the last-ditch efforts to improve on their standings will make the senatorial race interesting especially for those in the 8th to 12th places as the campaign period draws to a close two days before the elections.