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Chiz keeps big lead

But rivals Marcos, Cayetano, Robredo, Honasan moving up

SENATOR Francis Escudero retained a wide lead over other vice presidential candidates for the 2016 polls even as other contenders, except for Senator Antonio Trillanes IV, saw their ratings go up in the latest The Standard Poll.

At least 33 percent of the respondents—all of whom are registered voters with biometrics and who said they are sure to vote in next year’s elections—said they will vote for Escudero if the polls were held today.

The figure was seven points lower than Escudero’s 40 percent rating in The Standard Poll released in October, which still included Davao City Mayor Rodrigo Duterte and former Senator Panfilo Lacson—who decided to run for president and senator, respectively, but did not yet include Senator Gregorio Honasan.

Senator Ferdinand Marcos Jr. placed second at 19 percent, up from 15 percent in October, followed by Senator Alan Cayetano (18 percent, up from 11 percent), Camarines Sur Rep. Leni Robredo (11 percent, up from 7 percent),  Honasan (7 percent), and Trillanes (6 percent, down from 7 percent).

Across geographic areas, Escudero was the frontrunner in the National Capital Region (42 percent), South Luzon/Bicol (41 percent), Visayas (32 percent), and Mindanao (29 percent). It was only in North/Central Luzon that Escudero placed second at 29 percent with Marcos leading at 35 percent.

Escudero also led in both urban and rural areas at 36 percent and 32 percent, respectively.

Escudero was the top choice of respondents across all economic classes and genders, getting more than a third of the vote.

Voters aged 18-34 and 35-55 also said they will vote for Escudero at 40 percent and 33 percent, respectively, while a plurality of respondents aged 56 and above said they will vote for Marcos at 27 percent.

Across religious affiliation, a plurality of Catholics (33 percent), Iglesia Ni Cristo (36 percent), Born Again (46 percent), and Muslims (35 percent) said they will vote for Escudero.

Marcos came in second among Catholics (19 percent) and INC members (21 percent) while Cayetano trailed behind Escudero among Born Again members (19 percent) and Muslims (21 percent).

By ethnicity, Marcos was the top choice of Ilocanos with a majority of 52 percent and Warays at 36 percent while Tagalogs (44 percent), Cebuanos (30 percent), Ilonggos (29 percent) and Muslim groups (38 percent) said they will vote for Escudero.

The Bicol vote was statistically split between Escudero (37 percent) and Robredo (34 percent).

Across the country, 41 percent of the respondents said they may still change their choice of vice presidential candidate from today until the May 9, 2016 polls, which translates to a core base of 20.13 percent for Escudero, 12.54 percent for Marcos, 9.9 percent for Cayetano, 6.6 percent for Robredo, 3.08 percent for Honasan, and 3.24 for Trillanes.

The survey was conducted by resident pollster Junie Laylo from Dec. 4 to 12, with 1,500 respondents from 76 provinces across the country and the 17 cities in the National Capital Region. 

It has a margin of error of +/- 2.6 percent nationwide and +/-6 percent each for Metro Manila, North/Central Luzon, South Luzon/Bicol, Visayas and Mindanao.

Across religious affiliation, a plurality of Catholics (33 percent), Iglesia Ni Cristo (36 percent), Born Again (46 percent), and Muslims (35 percent) said they will vote for Escudero.

Marcos came in second among Catholics (19 percent) and INC members (21 percent) while Cayetano trailed behind Escudero among Born Again members (19 percent) and Muslims (21 percent).

By ethnicity, Marcos was the top choice of Ilocanos with a majority of 52 percent and Warays at 36 percent while Tagalogs (44 percent), Cebuanos (30 percent), Ilonggos (29 percent) and Muslim groups (38 percent) said they will vote for Escudero.

The Bicol vote was statistically split between Escudero (37 percent) and Robredo (34 percent).

Across the country, 41 percent of the respondents said they may still change their choice of vice presidential candidate from today until the May 9, 2016 polls, which translates to a core base of 20.13 percent for Escudero, 12.54 percent for Marcos, 9.9 percent for Cayetano, 6.6 percent for Robredo, 3.08 percent for Honasan, and 3.24 percent for Trillanes.

The survey was conducted by resident pollster Junie Laylo from Dec. 4 to 12, with 1,500 respondents from 76 provinces across the country and the 17 cities in the National Capital Region. 

It has a margin of error of +/- 2.6 percent nationwide and +/-6 percent each for Metro Manila, North/Central Luzon, South Luzon/Bicol, Visayas and Mindanao.

Topics: Chiz keeps big lead , the standard poll
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