THE latest Social Weather Stations survey shows Vice President Jejomar Binay still at the top of the list of presidential candidates for 2016, with 37 percent of respondents saying he was the best leader to succeed President Benigno Aquino III, as opposed to Senator Grace Poe at 21 percent and Interior Secretary Manuel Roxas II at 19 percent.
The survey, conducted from Nov. 27 to Dec. 1, involved face-to-face interviews with 1,800 adults to determine their choice for president in 2016.
The SWS findings reflected the Pulse Asia survey showing that Binay would be the runaway winner in a four-way presidential race with Senator Grace Poe, Interior Secretary Mar Roxas and Senator Alan Peter Cayetano.
No list of names was provided to prompt the respondents, who were asked: “According to the Constitution, the term of President Noynoy Aquino is up to 2016 only, and there will be an election for a new President in May 2016. Who do you think are the good leaders who should succeed President Aquino as President? You may give up to three names.”
Others, following the top three, were Senator Miriam Defensor Santiago, 10 percent; Senator Francis Escudero and Manila City Mayor Joseph Estrada tied at 9 percent; Davao City Mayor Rodrigo Duterte and Senator Antonio Trillanes IV at 5 percent each; Senators Ferdinand Marcos Jr. and Alan Peter Cayetano with 3 percent each; former Senator Manny Villar, Senator Ramon Revilla Jr. and rehabilitation czar Panfilo Lacson Jr. with 2 percent.
Obtaining 1 percent each were Senator Loren Legarda, Senate President Franklin Drilon, food security czar Francis Pangilinan and boxing champ and Sarangani Rep. Manny Pacquiao.
At least eight percent had no one to recommend and 15 percent could not give an answer, the SWS said.
Of the 1,800 adults polled, some 300 each were in Metro Manila, the Balance of Luzon and Mindanao and 900 were from the Visayas.
The SWS survey has sampling error margins of + and – 2 percent for national percentages, 6 percent plus and minus for Metro Manila, Balance Luzon and Mindanao and 3 percent plus and minus for Visayas.
The same question was posed to respondents in 11 surveys from September 2007 to November 2009 to determine who should succeed the President Gloria Macapagal Arroyo.
In May 2009, Villar took the top spot with 29 percent, followed by then Vice President Noli de Castro at 21 percent and Roxas with 18 percent. Those who mentioned Aquino represented only 0.4 percent of all respondents.
But in September 2009, a month after Aquino’s mother, former President Corazon Aquino, died, Aquino topped the survey with 60 percent, followed by Villar with 37 percent and Estrada with 18 percent.
In November 2009, it was Aquino with 59 percent, Villar with 37 percent and Escudero with 27 percent. Binay, at the time, had only 1 percent along with Lacson, evangelist Eddie Villanueva and then Metro Manila Development Authority chairman Bayani Fernando.
The SWS said all the surveys were non-commissioned and were done as a public service.
Reacting to the SWS survey, Poe said her political plans were not a priority at the moment.
She said, however, that the strong trust and confidence from the public inspired her to do more as a senator.
Binay issued a statement saying he was grateful for the recognition of his worthiness to assume the highest office in the land.With Macon Ramos-Araneta
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